
4th Quarter 2021 Update
Investor sentiment is showing as negative or bearish. A positive indicator, however, is the fourth quarter is historically the best quarter in the US stock market. Watch our video to find out more.
Investor sentiment is showing as negative or bearish. A positive indicator, however, is the fourth quarter is historically the best quarter in the US stock market. Watch our video to find out more.
Going back to World War II, in every instance the S&P 500 was up significantly the first year of the new bull market. On average the first-year annual performance was more than 40%. The good news is the gains continued in year two, as stocks were also up the second year of a new bull market every single time. The average was up a solid 17% in year two.
With the ongoing GameStop saga, we see a new development in the stock market: small Mainstreet traders taking on the big Wall Street Hedge funds and winning - at least for a while. Let's take a look at what occurred and what this may mean for the market and investors.
The SP 500 index performance in the three months before the election has proven a good forecaster of who will win the Presidency. In the past, a rising market in this period has indicated that the incumbent will win. Stock market losses, by contrast, have often predicted the opposition party wins.
The world changes at a rapid pace in these modern times. The market crash that occurred primarily in March 2020 is already one for the history books. We are now getting our first data on how individual investors fared during this tumultuous period, and to me, it was a shock.
Will Covid-19 lead to another Great Depression? Find out some important differences between then and today.
If you played King of the Hill as a child, you'll remember the goal was to beat the other kids to the top. Not easy (at least it wasn't for me). But going down the hill was a breeze. The other kids and gravity were always ready to help! It's easier to go down than up - this is the world of physics. The principle for how this applies to investments is called the Arithmetic of Loss. The math: losses hurt more than gains help. For example, losing 5% is more negative than gaining 5% is positive.